
If he weren't such an insufferably cocky prick, Richard Dutrow would have a great riches-to-rags-to-riches story. The son of a prominent East Coast trainer, Dutrow's dad cut ties with his son after it became apparent that junior was intent on pissing away his considerable talent on weed and blow. Bottomed out and living on the Aqueduct backstretch, Dutrow picked himself up (with the help of an empathetic owner), cleaned himself off, and climbed his way back into the rarified air of trainers who've had horses poised to claim the elusive Triple Crown.
If Big Brown wins the Belmont -- and, in turn, the Triple Crown -- on Saturday, I'll be happy. But I'll be happier if he loses -- not because I dislike Big Brown, but because I dislike Douche-row and the horse's sketchy hedge fund owner. Instead of being gracious during his quest, Douche-row has morphed ito what jockey Edgar Prado calls "the Muhammad Ali of horse racing," talking mega-smack about his opponents' relative inferiority, calling Bob Costas "babe," and wearing pink shirts.
I'll also be happy if Big Brown loses because that'll mean I'll win at the window, because I'm not so sentimental as to shoot my wad on a 2-5 fave, not in this or any other race. And here are three horses that might have a chance to do what, on paper, looks pretty impossible. But remember, this is the Belmont, folks. And remember Birdstone, the horse that edged Triple Crown hopeful Smarty Jones at the wire in 2004. The jockey aboard Birdstone was none other than Prado, who will be riding this year's second-favorite, Casino Drive. Casino Drive is undefeated in two races, and is the only horse other than the undefeated Big boy to have posted a triple figure Beyer. Plus, there's no love lost between Prado and Douche-row, who allegedly renieged on a promise to give the jockey Big Brown's mount in his three-year-old debut. That bad blood boiled to a surface after the Preakness, when Douche-row accused Prado of intentionally steering his horse into Big Brown's path to victory, which Prado categorically denied. In the Belmont, he'll have a lot more horse to muck up Brownie's trip.
But here's the scenario I'm hoping for: I'm hoping Prado and Casino Drive entice Kent Desormeaux and Brownie into a dick measuring contest about midway through the race, setting the stage for either Denis of Cork (12-1 morning line odds) or Tale of Ekati (20-1) to steal the affair. On paper, Denis of Cork seems the better wager, considering a homestretch charge in the Kentucky Derby, where he finished third, that suggested a mile-and-a-half might suit him rather well.
But while I may have some action on Corky, and fluid odds are always a factor in propositions like these, the bulk of my loot is likely to be wagered on Barclay Tagg's Tale of Ekati. The horse is 2-0 on the Belmont surface, having broken his maiden and claimed the Grade 2 Futurity there as a 2-year-old. The legendary Tagg, he of Funny Cide fame, is a Belmont expert if there ever was one (a superb 38% winning percentage theret his year); and the jockey, Eibar Coa, is no stranger to the track. Plus the horse has as close to an ideal pedigree as you're going to get out of a modern-day 3-year-old to cover this monstrous distance. In any race besides the Belmont, I wouldn't put much stock in such minutiae. But I remember Birdstone.